Turkiye issued a Navtex. It will close Black Sea maritime traffic between August 11th and 13th. Roketsan will test fire Siper defensive batteries. The 840 km long Turkish Black Sea Notam will, in fact, stop the Russia-Ukraine war at sea for two full days.
SHOW OF FORCE NEVER SEEN BEFORE
With this “Black Sea Notam'' Turkiye will make history. No country ever controlled all activity, in the entirety of no sea this big, to date. The fact that Turkiye is doing it when there is an ongoing full-fledged war is also remarkable.
However, the question is not the magnitude of the Turkish notam. Normally, the curiosity would be about what Turkiye will be test firing. Yet, the real question everyone in the West is pondering instead why Turkiye decided to do it now?
Turkish Black Sea Notam
A Brinkmanship Against NATO Allies
Let’s cut to the chase!
Turkish Black Sea Notam is a show of force by Turkiye against Globalist led Western leaderships. Turkiye with this notam is simply responding, as a counter move, to what Globalists on both sides of the Atlantic have done lately under the guise of “Western Alliance.”
They have basically been continuing to fuel the Russia-Ukraine war. As a result, they are facing shrewd moves from Turkiye. The country that is the only viable intermediary in between two warring countries is playing a high wire act. With this move, it is displaying who is the boss.
However, Turkiye is doing it with a finesse. Here in this first episode of the “Turkish Black Sea Notam '' chapter four ill-intent moves by the West are listed. They are primarily instigated by the US and France against Turkiye. The UK assumes the lead role against Russia.
The ill-intent moves start with the Western conspiracy in the grain shipments from Ukraine. The other three are more belligerent. They involve the Ukrainian military attacks in the Black Sea, NATO trying to break an international agreement and a dirty game by the US and France against Turkiye in Greece proper and islands.
Fact 1: Grain Shipments
In July, Russia did not extend the grain shipment agreement in place for a while, for two reasons. One, Russia did not get a break in financial transactions from the West, in return for allowing grain shipments.
Two, grain shipments did not go to the needy poor countries. They ended up in the West. In a sense, Russia was providing “fuel” to its adversaries who were imposing embargo on Russia.
Fact 2: Ukrainian Attacks
Since the grain shipments began, Ukraine gained access to the Black Sea. Such that it was now able to use the shipments as a decoy to attack Russian assets in the coastal regions. Chaos was also enabling Ukraine to launch drone attacks on Moscow.
In fact, lately the war zone had long shifted from Ukraine to Russia. Russia’s main sea port in the Black Sea was now the target. Ukraine, allegedly, was using the returning ships both as a decoy but also for military logistics.
Fact 3: Montreux Agreement
Access to the Black Sea for naval vessels is through Turkish straits. There is a century-old international agreement called “Montreux”. It allows Turkiye to keep it close to warships during war time.
Globalist Western powers at this time would like Turkiye to ignore this mutually agreed and long in place agreement. Turkiye rightly says no. The agreement was then signed just to prevent escalation of such wars.
Fact 4: Military Deployments in Greece
Frustrated Globalists on both sides of the Atlantic, as a result, resort to Plan B. They constantly increase military deployments to Greece in order to entice Turkiye. Much to their dismay, Turkiye does not bite their ploy.
Instead, it counters their pitiful attempts with increased counter measures that bewilder them to their witt. Such that, now Greece and the Western deployments there are only a massive military strikes away from Turkiye.
Despite the realities at hand, the Globalist Administration in the US and leadership in France keep their agenda hidden from their voters. They continue with their double prong plan as best as they can until Summer 2024.
On one hand, they are trying to create a wedge between Turkey and Russia. On the other hand, they are trying to entice Turkiye and Greece to entangle into a military conflcit. So that, Russia-Ukraine scenario can be repeated there too.
One must always keep in mind who the desperate Globalists are in the first place. What is their ultimate plan other than creating "chaos” to achieve their ill-willed and self serving goals.
Turkish Black Sea Notam
Test Firing Is Real. So Is The Brinkmanship
As to the Turkish Black Sea Notam, it is really a test firing of defensive missile batteries. Yes, 850km means they are like “short range ballistic missiles''. They have enough fuel to go the distance. As indicated in the picture, it covers the entire sea.
That range also says Turkiye can hit entire Greece with these missiles if it comes to it. That means everything the US and France deployed there is like a sitting duck. That includes a whole US battalion of 1000 M1 Abrams tanks.
As to the brinkmanship aspect of this exercise, it is more than that. As I mentioned this in my book “GameChanger”. Turkiye will play a Zero Sum Game under certain circumstances in the region. This also means against the US, if it comes down to that.
One would assume, there would enough intelligence, in the intelligence services of both sides of the Atlantic to understand the gravity of the situation. The bureaucrats in the West too must try to understand the consequences of their decisions.
The Ukraine war already showed how wrong they have been so far since the 2020 presidential election. No one needs to see the body bags coming home by the 2024 presidential election to get the point.
On that note, there will be ensuing episodes of the “Turkish Black Sea Notam” by Erbil Writes. It will delve into details about the notam itself, resumption of grain shipments, the nature of Ukrainian attacks, the fate of Montreux Agreement.
One episode also deserves to be devoted to the next “Greek Tragedy”. It is only fair.